Odisha Sun Times Bureau
Bhubaneswar, May 12:
Notwithstanding the perceived dip in its fortunes in this election, three out of the four exit polls done by national television channels, the results of which were aired on Monday evening, have given a minimum of 12 Lok Sabha seats in Odisha to the Biju Janata Dal (BJD).
While the exit poll done by leading English channel CNN-IBN showed the BJD winning 12-16 of the seats, the exit polls conducted by Times Now and News Nation-ORG have each given it 15 seats.
The poll by ABP News, however, struck a rather discordant note predicting just 9 seats for the BJD and as many as 10 to the BJP and the Congress 2, which is closer to the figure projected by the state intelligence unit.
The CNN-IBN exit poll gave 3-7 seats to the BJP and 1-3 to the Congress, while the Times Now projected 5 seats for the Congress and just 1 for the BJP.
The notable aspect of the CNN-IBN poll is the significant change in the vote share of two out of the three principal players. If the numbers given in the poll turns out to be correct, then it would mean that while the BJD has more or less kept its vote share intact, the BJP has registered a massive gain in its vote share from a lowly 16.89% in 2009 to 24% this time.
The BJD vote share has fallen only marginally from 37.2% to 37% while the share of the Congress has shrunk from 32.75% in 2009 to 29% this time.
The wide variations in the number seats projected to be won by each of three main parties in the four exit polls, however, suggest that the final tally on May 16 could be altogether different.